The Pittsburgh Steelers are a +10 point underdog, riding a three-game winning streak. The Buffalo Bills have a five-game winning streak on the line when they host the Steelers for their 4:30 p.m. Monday start.
Please join me as I share my best bets for Monday’s Steelers vs Bills AFC Wild Card game on January 15.
Steelers vs. Bills Best Bet
Josh Allen Over 38.5 rushing yards (-120) at BetMGM
BetMGM New Jersey is charging a pile of juice, but the weather will be horrendous, and Bills quarterback Josh Allen will be using his legs far more than he ordinarily does. Allen has cleared this prop number in each of his last two matchups and six times this season.
The Steelers’ defense has allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game to the quarterback position. They’ve been stout against the run all season, but losing linebacker T.J. Watt is a huge loss for Pittsburgh.
They allowed 40 rushing yards in Week 18 to Baltimore quarterback Tyler Huntley and 33 rushing yards in Week 17 to Seattle QB Geno Smith. Rushing the football is part of Allens’ game, and I expect him to clear this number.
Jaylen Warren Over 3.5 receptions (+140) at bet365
The weather in Buffalo will be frigid, and extremely windy conditions are expected. That usually means more rushing attempts and fewer passing attempts, but the Steelers are +10 point underdogs, Pittsburgh QB Mason Rudolph will have to throw the football, and running back Jaylen Warren catching over 3.5 balls at +140 odds at bet365 New Jersey is too good to pass up.
Warren has cleared this prop number in each of his last five games. He’s become a valued target for Rudolph, and we should see Warren have much success against a Buffalo defense, allowing 4.56 receptions to running backs this season. Grab this prop number at these odds, pronto.
Josh Allen Under 29.5 passing attempts (-105) at Betway
Betway Sportsbook New Jersey gives us terrific odds on Allen’s completion prop. The weather will be frigid, and Allen and the Bills can win this game on the ground. The Bills signal-caller has failed to clear this number twice this season.
The Steelers allow the 17th-fewest passing attempts per game (32.75). Allen would have difficulties clearing this prop number on a good day against the Pittsburgh passing defense, let alone with serious visibility issues and a possible blizzard. Take the Under 29.5 on this Allen passing attempts prop.
