That completed a week where the Metropolitans moved on from Eduardo Escobar, Zach Muckenhirn, David Robertson, and Max Scherzer, ending what was supposed to be a season of Mets dominance and sending the Mets front office back to the drawing board.
Here’s a look at the moves the #Mets made this season to build up the farm system: pic.twitter.com/nfxVtTgK9b
— Metsmerized Online (@Metsmerized) August 1, 2023
New York might have a shredded salary, and maybe one or two players like Luisangel Acuna or Drew Gilbert pan out and become stars, but what the Mets gave away was far more than they will ever receive.
New York Mets Betting Odds (DraftKings)
- World Series Odds: +13000
- National League Winner: +7000
- National League East Winner: +30000
- New York Mets to Make Playoffs Yes (+800), No (-1000)
Are the New York Mets a Good Bet to Win the World Series?
No, the New York Mets aren’t a good bet to win the World Series.
The Mets were in trouble when closer Edwin Diaz was lost for the season while celebrating a World Baseball Classic win for his native Puerto Rico. Verlander and Scherzer had rough starts to their seasons, but the Mets’ offense has been awful the entire season, scoring the 10th most runs in the National League.
The Mets were a mess from top to bottom, Manager Buck Showalter couldn’t find a consistent enough lineup to win baseball games, and the Mets decided to shed salary and retool for next season.
Sherzer is off to the Texas Rangers, Verlander is off to the Houston Astros, and a pair of pitchers with 2.0 Wins Above Replacement (WAR) have been traded away, and the numbers they produce can’t be easily replaced. Even though DraftKings NJ gives good odds at +13000, there’s a reason they think it’s so unlikely.
Are the New York Mets a Good Bet to Win the National League Pennant?
No, the New York Mets aren’t a good bet to win the National League Pennant.
Aside from dealing Scherzer and Verlander, the Mets’ pitching took another hit when they traded away Robertson to the Miami Marlins. Robertson might have blown four saves, but he did save 14, which was good for the Mets, and New York is without a replacement capable of closing ballgames.
Rookie starter Kodai Senga is now the ace of the staff, allowing seven earned runs over his last 29.1 innings pitched. They don’t have the pitching now, and when the Mets did have pitching, the offense didn’t score any runs, and it’s hard to win the National League pennant without scoring runs.
Are the New York Mets a Good Bet to Win the National League East?
No, the New York Mets aren’t a good bet to win the National League East.
New York is 18.5 games behind the Atlanta Braves in the standings, and they don’t have the arms to win the NL East, nor do they have the offense to win the NL East.
New York has offensive stars, and while Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Jeff McNeill have been decent individually, the Mets are currently batting .238 with runners in scoring position, and 9th in slugging percentage isn’t what it takes to overcome an 18.5 game deficit.
Are the New York Mets a Good Bet to Make the Playoffs?
No, the New York Mets aren’t a good bet to make the playoffs.
New York is seven games behind the Philadelphia Phillies for the second National League Wild Card, so there is still a mathematical chance.
The Mets do have a winning record this season against the NL East, and while they might be a good bet some nights as the underdog, the New York Mets will be traipsing out a pitching staff that isn’t consistent along with a mediocre offense that won’t score enough to win a wild card.
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